The housing market is slowing down amid the widening flood emergency as developers try to ward off potential damage to their project sites.
Opas Sripayak, the managing director of condominium developer L.P.N. Development Plc, said both home purchases and new project launches have slowed since widespread flooding began affecting vast swathes of Thailand.
“Many developers including us are trying to prevent project sites from flooding such as by building small dams to keep the water from entering their projects,” he said.
L.P.N. has preventive measures not only for new condo projects, but also for completed ones that it manages.
“We’ve divided our areas into three zones, with red zones the most prone to flooding. These projects are close to rivers or canals where a rapid flow of water may be expected to occur from Oct 15-17.”
L.P.N. has earmarked one million baht for contingency planning. Routine jobs for technicians have been scaled back, replaced instead by preventive tasks and situation monitoring.
Mechanical and electrical operations are at the heart of a condominium project, and the company will try its best to prevent damages in this regard, he added.
Sopon Pornchokchai, president of the Agency for Real Estate Affairs, said this year’s major flooding could have as severe an effect on the property market as the 1997 floods, so everyone should have a contingency plan.
In Ayutthaya province, damage sustained to Saha Rattana Nakorn Industrial Estate, where 44 factories are located, and Rojana Industrial Park with 150 plants are a “bad omen”, revealing weakness in flood-protection plans, he said.
“The focus has been all on humanitarian aid for the people, while preventive planning for the private sector, which drives the country’s economy, has largely been forgotten, leaving companies to fend for themselves. Helping the private sector is not just ‘helping capitalists’, but rather protecting the country’s major economic mechanism,” Mr Sopon said in a statement yesterday.
Allowing central Bangkok to flood would result in more than a trillion baht in damage to the city’s infrastructure, the country’s brain centre that drives the economy.
If foreign investors relocate their manufacturing base or headquarters to neighbouring countries, the Thai economy will worsen, as it would end up depending more on exports.
Many people assume construction companies will receive a boost after the flood, but in reality these businesses act only as repairmen and do not add to economic wealth, said Mr Sopon.
This year’s flood could result in an economic recession and unemployment or lower wages due to an export slowdown.
“If the economy declines, people may not be able to make their mortgage payments. This would in turn affect financial institutions that loan close to 100% of unit value amid high competition,” he said.
Mr Sopon suggested developers revise their strategy, as a forecast 20-30% increase in new launches may no longer be possible.
Meanwhile, L.P.N. is poised to launch the 4-billion-baht Lumpini ParkBeach Jomtien, its second project in Pattaya, comprising 1,964 condo units starting at 46,000 baht a square metre and targeted at working people.
In the first nine months of this year, the company recorded overall presales of 9 billion baht with the full-year target 10 billion. Revenue in the period was 11 billion baht with the full-year target 12 billion.
Third-quarter revenue was 5 billion baht, the highest amount ever in the company’s 22-year history.
Besides the Pattaya project, L.P.N. will launch two or three projects worth one billion baht each in the fourth quarter.
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